Jonathan (Jonty) Rougier

When people ask what I do, I say “I do science in areas of high uncertainty and/or high value”.  In these areas we want our analysis to be:

  • Transparent

  • Rigorous

  • Defensible

These are precisely the attributes of a proper statistical analysis, as carried out by an experienced professional statistician (like me).

20 years of topics: pipelines • computer experiments • oil reservoirs • correlations in stock markets • climate modelling • football • donkeys • avalanches • birdsong • mortality in emergency surgery • ash clouds • extreme weather early warning • digital elevation models • shape analysis of human skulls • national risk assessment • paleoclimate reconstruction • explosive volcanism • asset risk assessment • collisions in space • Antarctic mass balance • global sea level rise


Brief biography

  • Currently an independent statistical scientist, and Honorary Professor, School of Mathematics, University of Bristol.

  • Formerly Professor of Statistical Science, School of Mathematics, University of Bristol (until 30 June 2019).

2007-2019: Lecturer (then Reader, then Professor), School of Mathematics, University of Bristol

1997-2006: Researcher, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Durham University

More details (Biography & CV)


I am a ‘full service’ statistician, but I have particular expertise in

  • Bayesian modelling and inference, including inverse problems

  • Uncertainty and risk assessment

  • Statistical prediction (including statistical machine learning)

  • Statistical computing, mainly in R and C

  • Visualization

As a statistician, I am unusually well-informed about Earth and Environmental Sciences.

More details (publications).


Non-profit organizations, including universities and research grants (limited availability): £500 per day (1 day = 7.5 hours)

Other non-profit organizations and Bristol SMEs: £750 per day.

Other organizations: £1,000 - £2,500 per day, depending on organization, topic, and duration.

Expenses: £150 per night for consecutive days away from Bristol; £200 per trip travel (UK only, no flying).